So, firstly I'd like to bring this post back to your attention. Some of you may have assumed i was referring to Hayumi flipping town, and perhaps overreacting. I was not.
You see, I am a Watcher. Night Phase 1, I targeted Juan, and received [No results]. Night Phase 2 I targeted Lord Melkor, and received [No results]. It's probably obvious at this stage why I was so frustrated at my play. I should have, by all rights, been watching the Innocent Child. I got away with it Night 1, but that was just a bonus. When WPK subbed in and improved the slot, I really ought to have played it simple, and watched him. But I got in my own head, and convinced myself I could get away with it again. Lo and behold, WPK died, and I was left with nothing to show for 2 nights of investigations.
So Night 3, I decided to play it a bit more seriously. With how heavily Laix had pushed Cooler, I felt it was probably in scum's interest to target Laix. If nothing else, it felt like the kind of investigation I should do, rather than trying to play it "cleverly", which had to date clearly not worked very well.
My results last Night Phase said
@Natalija targeted Laix. If Laix indeed busdrove himself with Tiger, then I would have actually been Watching Tiger, and thus, I should have received Kira in my results. I also feel like I probably should have received Laix as well. But I don't know how it is done here - some sites do not show the busdriver, when self-targeting, to appear to target themselves. Someone else would have to advise on that.
So from here, we have three possibilities, as best I can tell:
1 - Kira is scum, and caught fake claiming a role block.
2 - Laix is scum, and lied about busdriving himself and Tiger.
3 - Natalija is scum, and blocked Laix from busdriving himself*
*In this event, Natalija is probably scum with Kira, due to the lack of counter claim from Natalija when Kira claimed blocker.
I'm not sure which of the options I prefer exactly, but it seems pretty clear to me that Tiger should probably not be the lynch today. I would probably pick Kira myself, and if he flips town, lynch Laix the following Day Phase, and then end the game by lynching Tiger.
Anyone have any questions?