I did some work during the night phase. I believe this may be useful to find sense in last day's bandwagons:
Sin
Didi
DDL
Wad
Didi
Platinum
Psychic
Ava
Mr. Waffles
Ava
Ava
Didi
DDL
WPK
Ava
Reznor
Reznor
Darth
DDL
Dr. White
Melodie
Nevan
Red = Darth
Blue = Wad
Green = Ava
No color = Other
Gray = No Lynch
Final votes are in Bold. Votes that were changed later are not.
So besides my meme wagon, the only real votes that were present at the time were on Darth's wagon, initially.
It started with Myself, Didi, and Jeroen.
Then Ava comes, switches from me to Darth, then switches again and proceeds to No Lynch.
Didi switches from Darth to Ava. He is the first to vote for him and his vote remains on him for the rest of the phase. That's 2-1 (Darth vs. Ava)
DDL switches from me to Ava. It is now 2-2.
WPK at this point comes in and votes for...Dr. White, I think? So basically doesn't take a stance.
Ava is now sort of worried he's getting votes so he sides with the Darth wagon. 3-2.
Reznor is like, the fuck, that's hella scummy - voting majority to save yourself. He votes for Ava. 3-3.
Reznor then decides against it and is like, ok whatever Darth it is. 4-2.
Darth comes in and is like...hmmm...I save myself so Ava it is. 4-3.
But we have to keep in mind that Darth is a double-voter, so in reality the votes are (unless there's other voting power in play) actually tied at this point.
DDL ostensibly decides that was extremely scummy of Darth and chooses to vote for him, one of his redeeming plays. It is now 5-3 (5-4 in actuality).
Dr. White comes and drops his first vote on Darth. 6-3 (6-4 in actuality).
Melodie avoids taking a stance on this and votes for Platinum after engaging in a tedious TL;DR back and forth with him.
Nevan votes for Darth for good measure.
What I am analyzing from this:
We should lynch Dr. White or Melodie.
Why Dr. White?
Because the fact of the matter is that with DDL's vote, Darth was already in the lead, so the credibility goes to DDL and not Dr. White. I would also think from a meta-read that after
Election Year, Dr. White is going to be really reluctant to attempt to save doomed teammates. So he threw himself on there for some credibility, that's one theory.
That aside, I need to read his posts but he's had some clashes with DDL and WPK, so if he were to flip scum we could feel very secure about DDL once and for all, and feel a lot better with WPK. I generally don't feel as if Dr. White has been eager to 'solve' this game and the majority of his interactions is bickering or fighting with people; creating dissent.
Why not WPK?
Meta, mostly. If WPK is scum, he does not have any say over the mafia's faction kills.
We have to remember that in this game, mafia were allowed to choose their own roles. Explains why neither Darth or Ruffruff are Godfather. That role is absolutely in possession of the mafia's highest profile player. People like myself, Didi, WPK, Melodie, etc. would be most likely to take the role for themselves. WPK would not go for me as a target Night 1, especially when Reznor as innocent child is an option and Nevan seems to be the Lie Detector. Not unless he's finally broken his scum leader meta.
Why Melodie?
While there's points in her favor for actually seeming to have tried at first to scumhunt, or appear scum-hunting: we have to remember that the majority of HER interactions are with Platinum. Her vote on him, when the votes between Darth and Ava were still very close at a critical juncture shows her lack of wanting to take a side in the issue, perhaps hoping it could be turned around or maybe one or two of Darth's voters would change their minds and vote away from him.
Context also shows that after Darth was lynched, and Ruffruff was basically condemned...her participation in the game screeched to a halt. She withdrew considerably in Day 2, and that could be attributed to tilt: she's already lost half of her scumteam. She finally shows up in the phase once it's pretty much decided for sure that Ruffruff is to hang, and does nothing of value other than: 1) Announcing she'll be there for the few hours remaining in the phase [she doesn't really stick around, it turns out] and 2) Restart her head-to-head argument with Platinum, yet while doing so has a somewhat acquiescent tone. Platinum notes that it's pretty odd she chooses to restart what should have been largely a dead conversation, and Melodie does not really pursue other targets.
Conclusion:
We should definitely lynch Melodie or Dr. White. We should ISO their posts, and we should should interrogate them extensively this phase.
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